Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

170.19 – 138.09

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

232 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 74.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 378.7 ±12.4

2512Duluth East Daredevils

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 7.35Rank 39Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 91

1622Team Spyder

Season APEX 65.3Event APEX 21Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6907The G.O.A.T

Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 141.84Rank 1Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 499.2 ±11.7

2227Tigers

Season APEX 55Event APEX -15.07Rank 42Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 94

6045Sabre Robotics

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 98.62Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2472Centurions

Season APEX 195.7Event APEX 54.54Rank 15Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2512, 1622, 6907

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.2 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 2512, 1622, 6907

Auto

53.8 33%

Teleop

83.7 51%

Endgame

26.3 16%

Strengths

· 6907 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2227, 6045, 2472

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.1 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 2227, 6045, 2472

Auto

27.6 21%

Teleop

69.7 53%

Endgame

34.6 26%

Strengths

· 6045 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score170.2pts

Blue projected score138.1pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 32.1
Score range: 119–189
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 283 vs event baseline 108.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

378.7Season APEX499.2

53.8Auto27.6

83.7Teleop69.7

26.3Endgame34.6

0Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	26
teleop	113	10
endgame	56	15
foul	0	0
total	232	51

Result

Final score

232 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 74.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.