Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
168.65 – 95.37
71%29%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
268 – 148
Prediction correct · off by 76 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 365.7 ±12.8
Season APEX 70.2Event APEX -3.17Rank 8Record 7-3-1Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 63.87Rank 18Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 107.95Rank 1Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 447.4 ±12.8
Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 73.55Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 9.74Rank 10Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 88Event APEX 12.08Rank 38Record 2-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2177, 2574, 6907
91
/ 100 compatProjected
168.7 pts
~1.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 2177, 2574, 6907
Auto
43.6 27%
Teleop
82.9 51%
Endgame
37.2 23%
Strengths
- · 6907 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2491, 3102, 2129
70
/ 100 compatProjected
95.4 pts
~1.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 2491, 3102, 2129
Auto
16.8 17%
Teleop
42.2 44%
Endgame
37.2 39%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.81 · Blue 0.98
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score168.7pts
Blue projected score95.4pts
Red win probability71%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 34%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 73.3
- Score range
- 79–185
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
365.7Season APEX447.4
43.6Auto16.8
82.9Teleop42.2
37.2Endgame37.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 66 | 37 |
| teleop | 145 | 100 |
| endgame | 57 | 6 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 268 | 148 |
Result
Final score
268 – 148
Prediction correct · off by 76 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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