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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

168.6595.37

71%29%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

268148

Prediction correct · off by 76 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 365.7 ±12.8
Season APEX 70.2Event APEX -3.17Rank 8Record 7-3-1Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 63.87Rank 18Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 107.95Rank 1Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 447.4 ±12.8
Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 73.55Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 9.74Rank 10Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 88Event APEX 12.08Rank 38Record 2-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2177, 2574, 6907
91
/ 100 compat
Projected
168.7 pts
~1.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 2177, 2574, 6907
Auto
43.6 27%
Teleop
82.9 51%
Endgame
37.2 23%
Strengths
  • · 6907 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2491, 3102, 2129
70
/ 100 compat
Projected
95.4 pts
~1.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 2491, 3102, 2129
Auto
16.8 17%
Teleop
42.2 44%
Endgame
37.2 39%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.81 · Blue 0.98
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score168.7pts
Blue projected score95.4pts
Red win probability71%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 34%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
73.3
Score range
79185
Upset likelihood
29%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
High scoring

Combined score 416 vs event baseline 86.1.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

365.7Season APEX447.4
43.6Auto16.8
82.9Teleop42.2
37.2Endgame37.2
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto6637
teleop145100
endgame576
foul05
total268148

Result

Final score

268148

Prediction correct · off by 76 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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