Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

77.67 – 15.42

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

155 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 67 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 321 ±18

5720Jagobotics

Provisional

Season APEX 24.3Event APEX 9.65Rank 22Record 6-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

2491NoMythic

Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 49.25Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5253Bigfork Backwoods Bots 5253

Provisional

Season APEX 35.6Event APEX 18.77Rank 28Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 200.3 ±15.1

6758Otternauts

Season APEX 47Event APEX 20.96Rank 11Record 6-4-1Status establishedConfidence 80

2227Tigers

Season APEX 55Event APEX -0.63Rank 42Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 94

3102Tech-No-Tigers

Season APEX 98.3Event APEX -4.91Rank 10Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5720, 2491, 5253

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.7 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 5720, 2491, 5253

Auto

7.2 9%

Teleop

49.4 64%

Endgame

20.3 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6758, 2227, 3102

/ 100 compat

Projected

15.4 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 6758, 2227, 3102

Auto

24.3 100%

Teleop

-17.7 0%

Endgame

9.1 58%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.71 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score77.7pts

Blue projected score15.4pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 62.3
Score range: 0–93
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 227 vs event baseline 85.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

321Season APEX200.3

7.2Auto24.3

49.4Teleop-17.7

20.3Endgame9.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	21
teleop	89	41
endgame	47	10
foul	0	0
total	155	72

Result

Final score

155 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 67 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.