Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

38.4 – 30.57

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

48 – 19

Prediction correct · off by 10.6 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 170.5 ±17.1

3008Team Magma

Season APEX 105.3Event APEX 8.57Rank 31Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7041Doomsday Dogs

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 14.69Rank 9Record 7-3-1Status establishedConfidence 79

6132Iron Rangers

Provisional

Season APEX 14.7Event APEX 15.14Rank 37Record 3-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 267.5 ±14.1

2502Talon Robotics

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 17.8Rank 16Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6047Proctor Frostbyte

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 4.2Rank 33Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

2169KING TeC

Season APEX 117Event APEX 8.57Rank 14Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3008, 7041, 6132

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.4 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 3008, 7041, 6132

Auto

16.3 46%

Teleop

13.7 38%

Endgame

5.6 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2502, 6047, 2169

/ 100 compat

Projected

30.6 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 2502, 6047, 2169

Auto

13.5 43%

Teleop

8.3 27%

Endgame

9.5 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score38.4pts

Blue projected score30.6pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 7.8
Score range: 15–54
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 67 vs event baseline 88.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

170.5Season APEX267.5

16.3Auto13.5

13.7Teleop8.3

5.6Endgame9.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	17
teleop	19	0
endgame	10	2
foul	0	0
total	48	19

Result

Final score

48 – 19

Prediction correct · off by 10.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.