Final · Finals 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

310.49 – 233.25

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

144 – 173

Prediction missed · off by 113.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 576.9 ±13.1

9532Messy Bees

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 37.63Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

2052KnightKrawler

Season APEX 267.9Event APEX 124.83Rank 2Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6907The G.O.A.T

Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 148.03Rank 1Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 615.5 ±10.4

2169KING TeC

Season APEX 117Event APEX 10.14Rank 14Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5913Patriotics

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 110.39Rank 5Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2491NoMythic

Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 112.72Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9532, 2052, 6907

/ 100 compat

Projected

310.5 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 9532, 2052, 6907

Auto

78.2 27%

Teleop

154.1 53%

Endgame

60.6 21%

Strengths

· 6907 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2169, 5913, 2491

/ 100 compat

Projected

233.3 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 2169, 5913, 2491

Auto

49.2 22%

Teleop

123.2 56%

Endgame

49.4 22%

Strengths

· 2491 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.96 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score310.5pts

Blue projected score233.3pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 77.2
Score range: 214–329
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 317 vs event baseline 107.5.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

576.9Season APEX615.5

78.2Auto49.2

154.1Teleop123.2

60.6Endgame49.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	42
teleop	68	92
endgame	17	24
foul	5	15
total	144	173

Result

Final score

144 – 173

Prediction missed · off by 113.4 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.