Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
Northern Lights Regional

Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

333.24 – 238.25

77%23%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

278 – 288

Prediction missed · off by 52.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 576.9 ±13.1
9532Messy Bees
D
Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 47.33Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79
2052KnightKrawler
A
Season APEX 267.9Event APEX 131.15Rank 2Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
6907The G.O.A.T
A
Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 154.76Rank 1Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 615.5 ±10.4
2169KING TeC
C
Season APEX 117Event APEX 12.9Rank 14Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
5913Patriotics
A
Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 112.23Rank 5Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2491NoMythic
A
Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 113.12Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9532, 2052, 6907
82
/ 100 compat
Projected
333.2 pts
~2.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 9532, 2052, 6907
Auto
77.7 24%
Teleop
180.2 56%
Endgame
64.7 20%
Strengths
  • · 6907 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2169, 5913, 2491
81
/ 100 compat
Projected
238.3 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 2169, 5913, 2491
Auto
45.3 20%
Teleop
131.1 57%
Endgame
53.6 23%
Strengths
  • · 2491 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.04 · Blue 0.84
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score333.2pts
Blue projected score238.3pts
Red win probability77%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 33%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
95
Score range
219–352
Upset likelihood
23%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 566 vs event baseline 104.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

576.9Season APEX615.5
77.7Auto45.3
180.2Teleop131.1
64.7Endgame53.6
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto8761
teleop108155
endgame6357
foul2015
total278288

Result

Final score

278 – 288

Prediction missed · off by 52.5 pts

Match videos

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