Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
333.13 – 471.01
15%85%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
345 – 431
Prediction correct · off by 25.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 792.2 ±9.9
Season APEX 50.7Event APEX -18.56Rank 25Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 177.31Rank 6Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 174.38Rank 2Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 597.2 ±8.8
Season APEX 122.6Event APEX 95.47Rank 33Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 172.96Rank 7Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 202.58Rank 3Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5090, 5460, 7769
78
/ 100 compatProjected
333.1 pts
~0.7 RP (offseason)
Teams: 5090, 5460, 7769
Auto
46.7 15%
Teleop
194.3 61%
Endgame
79.8 25%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1502, 503, 3707
85
/ 100 compatProjected
471 pts
~2.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1502, 503, 3707
Auto
70.3 15%
Teleop
232.6 51%
Endgame
154.3 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.72 · Blue 2.07
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score333.1pts
Blue projected score471pts
Red win probability15%
Event bonus sample100alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 30%, blue 29%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -137.9
- Score range
- 289–515
- Upset likelihood
- 15%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
792.2Season APEX597.2
46.7Auto70.3
194.3Teleop232.6
79.8Endgame154.3
73Consistency96
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 113 | 55 |
| teleop | 202 | 212 |
| endgame | 30 | 149 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 345 | 431 |
Result
Final score
345 – 431
Prediction correct · off by 25.9 pts
Match videos
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