Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

226.29 – 208.84

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

226 – 0

Prediction correct · off by 104.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 674.6 ±9.3

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 70.22Rank 11Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3015Ranger Robotics

A+

Season APEX 312.5Event APEX 54.14Rank 31Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

247Da Bears

Season APEX 131Event APEX 101.93Rank 12Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 591.8 ±9.9

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 83.09Rank 18Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1684The Chimeras

Season APEX 226.4Event APEX 109.38Rank 17Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5708Zebrotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 16.37Rank 21Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5066, 3015, 247

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.3 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5066, 3015, 247

Auto

29.4 13%

Teleop

141.9 64%

Endgame

49.5 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3414, 1684, 5708

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.8 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3414, 1684, 5708

Auto

53.4 26%

Teleop

117.0 57%

Endgame

33.2 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score226.3pts

Blue projected score208.8pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 17.4
Score range: 165–270
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 226 vs event baseline 244.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

674.6Season APEX591.8

29.4Auto53.4

141.9Teleop117

49.5Endgame33.2

105Consistency126

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	90
teleop	135	119
endgame	33	45
foul	15	15
total	226	0

Result

Final score

226 – 0

Prediction correct · off by 104.6 pts

Match videos

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