Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

261.31 – 324.27

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

183 – 481

Prediction correct · off by 117.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 361.8 ±11.7

6570Whiteford Bobcats

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 39.56Rank 22Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

66Grizzly Robotics

Season APEX 53Event APEX 59.18Rank 5Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9245Laker Dreadnoughts

Season APEX 228.3Event APEX 162.57Rank 9Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 638.3 ±9.3

4391BraveBots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 112.81Rank 26Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8179Robo Falcons

Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 114.22Rank 14Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1506Metal Muscle

Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 97.24Rank 8Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6570, 66, 9245

/ 100 compat

Projected

261.3 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6570, 66, 9245

Auto

30.6 12%

Teleop

158.9 61%

Endgame

72.4 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4391, 8179, 1506

/ 100 compat

Projected

324.3 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4391, 8179, 1506

Auto

52.5 16%

Teleop

192.3 59%

Endgame

78.6 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.23 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score261.3pts

Blue projected score324.3pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -63
Score range: 219–366
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 664 vs event baseline 236.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

361.8Season APEX638.3

30.6Auto52.5

158.9Teleop192.3

72.4Endgame78.6

45Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	62
teleop	94	308
endgame	30	111
foul	15	0
total	183	481

Result

Final score

183 – 481

Prediction correct · off by 117.5 pts

Match videos

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