Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

387.29 – 204.55

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

508 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 87.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 545.8 ±9.9

8280K9.0 Robotics

Season APEX 180.4Event APEX 189.26Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6081Digital Dislocators

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 21.47Rank 20Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3641The Flying Toasters

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 176.56Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 588.5 ±11.1

1250Gator-Bots

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 45.65Rank 13Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 137.78Rank 27Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11387G.L.E.A.M. - Grass Lake Engineering and Mechanics

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 21.12Rank 29Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8280, 6081, 3641

/ 100 compat

Projected

387.3 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8280, 6081, 3641

Auto

83.3 22%

Teleop

227.5 59%

Endgame

72.2 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1250, 1701, 11387

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.6 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1250, 1701, 11387

Auto

40.2 20%

Teleop

127.1 64%

Endgame

32.1 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score387.3pts

Blue projected score204.6pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 182.7
Score range: 163–429
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 659 vs event baseline 233.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

545.8Season APEX588.5

83.3Auto40.2

227.5Teleop127.1

72.2Endgame32.1

37Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	77	20
teleop	314	72
endgame	117	59
foul	0	0
total	508	151

Result

Final score

508 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 87.1 pts

Match videos

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