Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
168.85 – 47.48
82%18%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
279 – 218
Prediction correct · off by 140.3 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 683.3 ±10.5
Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 23.14Rank 29Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 112.57Rank 2Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 131Event APEX 33.14Rank 12Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 537.8 ±10.5
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 23.14Rank 20Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 122.6Event APEX 17.77Rank 33Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 312.5Event APEX 6.57Rank 31Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11387, 7769, 247
60
/ 100 compatProjected
168.8 pts
~2.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 11387, 7769, 247
Auto
30.0 18%
Teleop
105.1 62%
Endgame
33.7 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6081, 1502, 3015
32
/ 100 compatProjected
47.5 pts
~0.6 RP (offseason)
Teams: 6081, 1502, 3015
Auto
4.1 9%
Teleop
33.2 70%
Endgame
10.3 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.14 · Blue 0.63
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score168.8pts
Blue projected score47.5pts
Red win probability82%
Event bonus sample100alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 20%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 121.4
- Score range
- 11–205
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
683.3Season APEX537.8
30Auto4.1
105.1Teleop33.2
33.7Endgame10.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 28 |
| teleop | 185 | 165 |
| endgame | 70 | 25 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 279 | 218 |
Result
Final score
279 – 218
Prediction correct · off by 140.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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