Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
102.66 – 168.57
31%69%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
170 – 235
Prediction correct · off by 66.9 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 417.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 6.57Rank 26Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 26Rank 23Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 70.09Rank 24Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 539.8 ±9.9
Season APEX 226.4Event APEX 69.71Rank 17Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 92.29Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 6.57Rank 25Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4391, 5695, 2620
46
/ 100 compatProjected
102.7 pts
~1.0 RP (offseason)
Teams: 4391, 5695, 2620
Auto
11.4 11%
Teleop
63.6 62%
Endgame
27.7 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1684, 3641, 5090
58
/ 100 compatProjected
168.6 pts
~1.8 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1684, 3641, 5090
Auto
23.4 14%
Teleop
110.6 66%
Endgame
34.6 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.99 · Blue 1.77
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score102.7pts
Blue projected score168.6pts
Red win probability31%
Event bonus sample100alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 27%, blue 29%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -65.9
- Score range
- 67–205
- Upset likelihood
- 31%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
417.2Season APEX539.8
11.4Auto23.4
63.6Teleop110.6
27.7Endgame34.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 64 | 35 |
| teleop | 99 | 117 |
| endgame | 7 | 83 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 170 | 235 |
Result
Final score
170 – 235
Prediction correct · off by 66.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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