Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

178.45 – 170.48

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

287 – 411

Prediction missed · off by 174.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 406.7 ±11.2

1502Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 122.6Event APEX 81.67Rank 33Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1684The Chimeras

Season APEX 226.4Event APEX 96.05Rank 17Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11505Kensington Woods Robotics

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 0.73Rank 28Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 642.9 ±9.9

6570Whiteford Bobcats

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 9.83Rank 22Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1506Metal Muscle

Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 58.57Rank 8Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 102.08Rank 27Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1502, 1684, 11505

/ 100 compat

Projected

178.5 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1502, 1684, 11505

Auto

33.8 19%

Teleop

117.5 66%

Endgame

27.0 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6570, 1506, 1701

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.5 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6570, 1506, 1701

Auto

6.7 4%

Teleop

92.3 53%

Endgame

75.7 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score178.5pts

Blue projected score170.5pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 8
Score range: 129–219
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 698 vs event baseline 229.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

406.7Season APEX642.9

33.8Auto6.7

117.5Teleop92.3

27Endgame75.7

138Consistency111

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	72
teleop	128	242
endgame	96	97
foul	0	0
total	287	411

Result

Final score

287 – 411

Prediction missed · off by 174.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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