Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

232.76 – 279.73

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

422 – 387

Prediction missed · off by 148.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 574.1 ±10.5

6081Digital Dislocators

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 5.8Rank 20Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 140.45Rank 6Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1188The Ravens

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 86.51Rank 15Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 714.1 ±8.7

4391BraveBots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 80.6Rank 26Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9245Laker Dreadnoughts

Season APEX 228.3Event APEX 139.65Rank 9Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1076PiHi Samurai

Season APEX 201Event APEX 59.48Rank 16Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6081, 5460, 1188

/ 100 compat

Projected

232.8 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6081, 5460, 1188

Auto

31.6 14%

Teleop

154.6 68%

Endgame

41.3 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4391, 9245, 1076

/ 100 compat

Projected

279.7 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4391, 9245, 1076

Auto

55.0 19%

Teleop

160.4 57%

Endgame

68.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score232.8pts

Blue projected score279.7pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -47
Score range: 193–320
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 809 vs event baseline 224.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

574.1Season APEX714.1

31.6Auto55

154.6Teleop160.4

41.3Endgame68.1

97Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	111	86
teleop	231	196
endgame	80	105
foul	0	0
total	422	387

Result

Final score

422 – 387

Prediction missed · off by 148.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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