Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

265.85 – 53.99

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

288 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 18.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 669.5 ±10.7

7769The CREW

Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 141.09Rank 2Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

66Grizzly Robotics

Season APEX 53Event APEX 59.84Rank 5Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 64.92Rank 11Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 223.8 ±12.7

5708Zebrotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 26.64Rank 21Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5090TorqueNados

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 4.05Rank 25Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5695Heavy Duty Eagles

Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 23.3Rank 23Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7769, 66, 5066

/ 100 compat

Projected

265.9 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7769, 66, 5066

Auto

36.1 14%

Teleop

193.4 74%

Endgame

32.6 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5708, 5090, 5695

/ 100 compat

Projected

54 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5708, 5090, 5695

Auto

7.7 14%

Teleop

13.2 24%

Endgame

33.7 62%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.43 · Blue 0.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score265.9pts

Blue projected score54pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 211.9
Score range: 13–307
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 328 vs event baseline 226.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

669.5Season APEX223.8

36.1Auto7.7

193.4Teleop13.2

32.6Endgame33.7

52Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	8
teleop	154	26
endgame	111	6
foul	0	0
total	288	40

Result

Final score

288 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 18.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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