Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

177.13 – 389.14

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

206 – 451

Prediction correct · off by 45.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 422.6 ±10.7

503Frog Force

Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 152.8Rank 7Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7790Baywatch Robotics

Season APEX 104Event APEX 42.58Rank 10Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7196Tech Tigers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX -18.25Rank 35Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 587.6 ±9.3

3668TroBots

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 31.39Rank 19Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8280K9.0 Robotics

Season APEX 180.4Event APEX 183.93Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3641The Flying Toasters

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 173.82Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 503, 7790, 7196

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.1 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 503, 7790, 7196

Auto

23.7 13%

Teleop

100.7 56%

Endgame

54.6 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3668, 8280, 3641

/ 100 compat

Projected

389.1 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3668, 8280, 3641

Auto

85.0 22%

Teleop

211.3 55%

Endgame

88.3 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.52 · Blue 2.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score177.1pts

Blue projected score389.1pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -212
Score range: 137–429
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 657 vs event baseline 222.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

422.6Season APEX587.6

23.7Auto85

100.7Teleop211.3

54.6Endgame88.3

45Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	81
teleop	77	246
endgame	63	124
foul	0	0
total	206	451

Result

Final score

206 – 451

Prediction correct · off by 45.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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