Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

273.64 – 159.31

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

323 – 81

Prediction correct · off by 63.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 614.1 ±9.9

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 67.5Rank 11Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3641The Flying Toasters

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 160.88Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1250Gator-Bots

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 45.26Rank 13Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 570.9 ±11.1

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 129.84Rank 27Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6081Digital Dislocators

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 38.3Rank 20Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11387G.L.E.A.M. - Grass Lake Engineering and Mechanics

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX -8.83Rank 29Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5066, 3641, 1250

/ 100 compat

Projected

273.6 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5066, 3641, 1250

Auto

44.3 17%

Teleop

151.5 57%

Endgame

69.2 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1701, 6081, 11387

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.3 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1701, 6081, 11387

Auto

20.9 13%

Teleop

105.5 65%

Endgame

36.7 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.11 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score273.6pts

Blue projected score159.3pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 114.3
Score range: 113–320
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 404 vs event baseline 255.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

614.1Season APEX570.9

44.3Auto20.9

151.5Teleop105.5

69.2Endgame36.7

114Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	18
teleop	212	61
endgame	77	2
foul	0	0
total	323	81

Result

Final score

323 – 81

Prediction correct · off by 63.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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