Qualification · Qualification 29
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
0 – 0
55%45%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
128 – 62
Prediction correct · off by 95 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 354.4 ±11.1
Season APEX 50.7Event APEX -18.15Rank 25Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 201Event APEX 39.02Rank 16Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX -35.64Rank 20Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 185.8 ±12.7
Season APEX 57.7Event APEX -7.48Rank 28Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.6Event APEX -28.04Rank 32Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 5.93Rank 22Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5090, 1076, 6081
3
/ 100 compatProjected
-14.8 pts
~1.4 RP (offseason)
Teams: 5090, 1076, 6081
Auto
-6.8 72%
Teleop
-3.2 34%
Endgame
0.6 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 23%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11505, 830, 6570
3
/ 100 compatProjected
-29.6 pts
~1.3 RP (offseason)
Teams: 11505, 830, 6570
Auto
-21.8 76%
Teleop
-29.4 100%
Endgame
22.7 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 23%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.31
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score-14.8pts
Blue projected score-29.6pts
Red win probability55%
Event bonus sample100alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 23%, blue 33%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- -41–41
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
354.4Season APEX185.8
-6.8Auto-21.8
-3.2Teleop-29.4
0.6Endgame22.7
64Consistency52
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 9 | 12 |
| teleop | 80 | 41 |
| endgame | 39 | 9 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 128 | 62 |
Result
Final score
128 – 62
Prediction correct · off by 95 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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