Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

177.23 – 305.77

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

125 – 321

Prediction correct · off by 33.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 341.9 ±11.6

1250Gator-Bots

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 38.16Rank 13Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1502Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 122.6Event APEX 100.36Rank 33Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5708Zebrotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 38.71Rank 21Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 571.1 ±9.9

1684The Chimeras

Season APEX 226.4Event APEX 74.88Rank 17Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 188.87Rank 3Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7790Baywatch Robotics

Season APEX 104Event APEX 42.02Rank 10Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1250, 1502, 5708

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.2 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1250, 1502, 5708

Auto

16.7 10%

Teleop

123.7 70%

Endgame

35.2 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1684, 3707, 7790

/ 100 compat

Projected

305.8 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1684, 3707, 7790

Auto

54.3 18%

Teleop

166.3 55%

Endgame

83.8 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.66 · Blue 2.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score177.2pts

Blue projected score305.8pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -128.5
Score range: 136–347
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 446 vs event baseline 230.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

341.9Season APEX571.1

16.7Auto54.3

123.7Teleop166.3

35.2Endgame83.8

96Consistency124

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	35
teleop	79	195
endgame	29	91
foul	0	0
total	125	321

Result

Final score

125 – 321

Prediction correct · off by 33.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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