Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

329.16 – 22.96

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

361 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 118.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 565.1 ±10.7

3641The Flying Toasters

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 182.97Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9245Laker Dreadnoughts

Season APEX 228.3Event APEX 141.95Rank 9Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5695Heavy Duty Eagles

Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 4.24Rank 23Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 499.6 ±9.8

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX -41.38Rank 30Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

247Da Bears

Season APEX 131Event APEX 66.3Rank 12Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3668TroBots

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX -1.96Rank 19Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3641, 9245, 5695

/ 100 compat

Projected

329.2 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3641, 9245, 5695

Auto

66.1 21%

Teleop

176.3 55%

Endgame

79.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3175, 247, 3668

/ 100 compat

Projected

23 pts

~0.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3175, 247, 3668

Auto

-0.8 0%

Teleop

32.7 100%

Endgame

-16.4 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.63 · Blue 0.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score329.2pts

Blue projected score23pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 306.2
Score range: -18–370
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 589 vs event baseline 227.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

565.1Season APEX499.6

66.1Auto-0.8

176.3Teleop32.7

79.3Endgame-16.4

75Consistency80

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	88	30
teleop	170	124
endgame	103	74
foul	0	0
total	361	228

Result

Final score

361 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 118.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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