Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

323.56 – 118.08

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

421 – 204

Prediction correct · off by 91.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 593.1 ±9.8

7769The CREW

Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 148.65Rank 2Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1188The Ravens

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 58.2Rank 15Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8179Robo Falcons

Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 116.71Rank 14Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 444.3 ±11.1

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 95.06Rank 27Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2620Titans

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 46.61Rank 24Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7196Tech Tigers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX -23.59Rank 35Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7769, 1188, 8179

/ 100 compat

Projected

323.6 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7769, 1188, 8179

Auto

43.7 13%

Teleop

192.4 59%

Endgame

88.1 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1701, 2620, 7196

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.1 pts

~0.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1701, 2620, 7196

Auto

-7.5 0%

Teleop

95.8 77%

Endgame

35.7 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.48 · Blue 0.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score323.6pts

Blue projected score118.1pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 205.5
Score range: 79–363
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 625 vs event baseline 217.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

593.1Season APEX444.3

43.7Auto-7.5

192.4Teleop95.8

88.1Endgame35.7

121Consistency167

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	75
teleop	236	105
endgame	125	24
foul	0	0
total	421	204

Result

Final score

421 – 204

Prediction correct · off by 91.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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