Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

161.44 – 273.94

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

226 – 315

Prediction correct · off by 52.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 624.1 ±9.9

6570Whiteford Bobcats

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 10.86Rank 22Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 68.75Rank 11Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3015Ranger Robotics

A+

Season APEX 312.5Event APEX 81.83Rank 31Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 742.8 ±9.9

1250Gator-Bots

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 23.61Rank 13Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 124.7Rank 18Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 125.63Rank 6Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6570, 5066, 3015

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.4 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6570, 5066, 3015

Auto

-14.0 0%

Teleop

114.0 69%

Endgame

65.1 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1250, 3414, 5460

/ 100 compat

Projected

273.9 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1250, 3414, 5460

Auto

45.3 17%

Teleop

146.5 54%

Endgame

78.7 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.77 · Blue 2.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score161.4pts

Blue projected score273.9pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -112.5
Score range: 122–313
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 541 vs event baseline 214.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

624.1Season APEX742.8

-14Auto45.3

114Teleop146.5

65.1Endgame78.7

73Consistency135

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	93
teleop	127	170
endgame	51	32
foul	5	20
total	226	315

Result

Final score

226 – 315

Prediction correct · off by 52.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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