Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

152.82 – 248.22

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

36 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 111.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 487 ±11.2

11505Kensington Woods Robotics

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 55.55Rank 28Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3668TroBots

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 51.99Rank 19Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4391BraveBots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 45.28Rank 26Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 667.8 ±9.9

2620Titans

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 77.46Rank 24Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX -16.15Rank 30Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7769The CREW

Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 186.91Rank 2Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11505, 3668, 4391

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.8 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11505, 3668, 4391

Auto

61.4 39%

Teleop

82.5 52%

Endgame

14.0 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2620, 3175, 7769

/ 100 compat

Projected

248.2 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2620, 3175, 7769

Auto

40.1 16%

Teleop

141.4 57%

Endgame

67.3 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.91 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score152.8pts

Blue projected score248.2pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -95.4
Score range: 114–287
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 178 vs event baseline 215.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

487Season APEX667.8

61.4Auto40.1

82.5Teleop141.4

14Endgame67.3

151Consistency170

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	13
teleop	14	102
endgame	1	27
foul	15	0
total	36	142

Result

Final score

36 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 111.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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