Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

149.52 – 196.85

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

84 – 265

Prediction correct · off by 66.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 299 ±11.6

7196Tech Tigers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX -13.91Rank 35Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5708Zebrotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 96.29Rank 21Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1188The Ravens

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 67.14Rank 15Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 603 ±9.5

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 111.04Rank 18Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6081Digital Dislocators

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX -1.27Rank 20Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

503Frog Force

Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 87.08Rank 7Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7196, 5708, 1188

/ 100 compat

Projected

149.5 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7196, 5708, 1188

Auto

5.3 3%

Teleop

95.0 63%

Endgame

51.3 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3414, 6081, 503

/ 100 compat

Projected

196.9 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3414, 6081, 503

Auto

64.9 34%

Teleop

125.2 65%

Endgame

2.7 1%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.07 · Blue 1.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score149.5pts

Blue projected score196.9pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -47.3
Score range: 111–236
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 349 vs event baseline 217.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

299Season APEX603

5.3Auto64.9

95Teleop125.2

51.3Endgame2.7

223Consistency171

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	55
teleop	60	129
endgame	17	81
foul	0	0
total	84	265

Result

Final score

84 – 265

Prediction correct · off by 66.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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