Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

87.85 – 245.63

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

23 – 244

Prediction correct · off by 33.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 584.2 ±9.9

3015Ranger Robotics

A+

Season APEX 312.5Event APEX 57.61Rank 31Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 32.05Rank 30Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

830The RatPack

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX -1.81Rank 32Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 559.3 ±9.5

5708Zebrotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX -9.83Rank 21Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

503Frog Force

Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 143.4Rank 7Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1684The Chimeras

Season APEX 226.4Event APEX 112.06Rank 17Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3015, 3175, 830

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.9 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3015, 3175, 830

Auto

13.8 15%

Teleop

61.0 68%

Endgame

14.7 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5708, 503, 1684

/ 100 compat

Projected

245.6 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5708, 503, 1684

Auto

55.9 20%

Teleop

152.5 55%

Endgame

70.8 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.47 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score87.9pts

Blue projected score245.6pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -157.8
Score range: 42–292
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 267 vs event baseline 255.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

584.2Season APEX559.3

13.8Auto55.9

61Teleop152.5

14.7Endgame70.8

55Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	45
teleop	12	162
endgame	3	37
foul	0	0
total	23	244

Result

Final score

23 – 244

Prediction correct · off by 33.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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