Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

247.4 – 184.66

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

464 – 244

Prediction correct · off by 138 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 495.2 ±10.7

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 169.67Rank 3Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5695Heavy Duty Eagles

Season APEX 74.1Event APEX -0.39Rank 23Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8280K9.0 Robotics

Season APEX 180.4Event APEX 78.12Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 814.8 ±8.7

1076PiHi Samurai

Season APEX 201Event APEX 62.68Rank 16Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3015Ranger Robotics

A+

Season APEX 312.5Event APEX 53.78Rank 31Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 68.2Rank 27Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3707, 5695, 8280

/ 100 compat

Projected

247.4 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3707, 5695, 8280

Auto

55.0 22%

Teleop

144.5 58%

Endgame

49.4 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1076, 3015, 1701

/ 100 compat

Projected

184.7 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1076, 3015, 1701

Auto

57.6 31%

Teleop

100.6 55%

Endgame

26.1 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score247.4pts

Blue projected score184.7pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 62.7
Score range: 148–284
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 708 vs event baseline 204.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

495.2Season APEX814.8

55Auto57.6

144.5Teleop100.6

49.4Endgame26.1

122Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	116	11
teleop	216	137
endgame	117	96
foul	15	0
total	464	244

Result

Final score

464 – 244

Prediction correct · off by 138 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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