Qualification · Qualification 18
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
50.91 – 155.63
21%79%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
49 – 159
Prediction correct · off by 2.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 567.7 ±9.9
Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 28.34Rank 34Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 104Event APEX 54.44Rank 10Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 224.1Event APEX -31.87Rank 30Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 397.1 ±10.5
Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 51.55Rank 15Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 12.26Rank 25Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 91.82Rank 11Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 548, 7790, 3175
16
/ 100 compatProjected
50.9 pts
~0.7 RP (offseason)
Teams: 548, 7790, 3175
Auto
-16.4 0%
Teleop
33.5 68%
Endgame
32.1 65%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 20%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1188, 5090, 5066
54
/ 100 compatProjected
155.6 pts
~1.9 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1188, 5090, 5066
Auto
19.1 12%
Teleop
85.2 55%
Endgame
51.3 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 20%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.71 · Blue 1.93
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score50.9pts
Blue projected score155.6pts
Red win probability21%
Event bonus sample100alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 20%, blue 27%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -104.7
- Score range
- 13–194
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
567.7Season APEX397.1
-16.4Auto19.1
33.5Teleop85.2
32.1Endgame51.3
44Consistency82
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 8 | 16 |
| teleop | 18 | 105 |
| endgame | 23 | 38 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 49 | 159 |
Result
Final score
49 – 159
Prediction correct · off by 2.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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