Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

201.09 – 129.82

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

117 – 171

Prediction missed · off by 62.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 363.6 ±11.1

8280K9.0 Robotics

Season APEX 180.4Event APEX 89.14Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6570Whiteford Bobcats

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 76.72Rank 22Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6081Digital Dislocators

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 35.23Rank 20Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 372.4 ±11.7

1506Metal Muscle

Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 23.32Rank 8Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

66Grizzly Robotics

Season APEX 53Event APEX 11.3Rank 5Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2620Titans

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 95.2Rank 24Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8280, 6570, 6081

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.1 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8280, 6570, 6081

Auto

9.9 5%

Teleop

107.8 53%

Endgame

84.8 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1506, 66, 2620

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.8 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1506, 66, 2620

Auto

29.2 23%

Teleop

48.7 38%

Endgame

51.0 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.93 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score201.1pts

Blue projected score129.8pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 71.3
Score range: 92–239
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 288 vs event baseline 212.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

363.6Season APEX372.4

9.9Auto29.2

107.8Teleop48.7

84.8Endgame51

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	11
teleop	99	113
endgame	0	47
foul	0	0
total	117	171

Result

Final score

117 – 171

Prediction missed · off by 62.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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