Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 226.75

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 338

Prediction correct · off by 74.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 325.7 ±12.7

5695Heavy Duty Eagles

Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 7.13Rank 23Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7196Tech Tigers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX -17.73Rank 35Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11387G.L.E.A.M. - Grass Lake Engineering and Mechanics

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 2.06Rank 29Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 644.4 ±9.9

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 97.33Rank 6Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 128.79Rank 3Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

830The RatPack

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 0.63Rank 32Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5695, 7196, 11387

/ 100 compat

Projected

-8.5 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5695, 7196, 11387

Auto

-6.4 62%

Teleop

0.2 0%

Endgame

-4.1 40%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5460, 3707, 830

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.8 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5460, 3707, 830

Auto

22.4 10%

Teleop

93.5 41%

Endgame

110.7 49%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.45 · Blue 2.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score-8.5pts

Blue projected score226.8pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -226.7
Score range: -38–265
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 375 vs event baseline 213.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

325.7Season APEX644.4

-6.4Auto22.4

0.2Teleop93.5

-4.1Endgame110.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	47
teleop	29	219
endgame	0	72
foul	0	0
total	37	338

Result

Final score

37 – 338

Prediction correct · off by 74.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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