Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

170.53 – 320.6

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

220 – 448

Prediction correct · off by 88.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 732.4 ±8.7

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 97.46Rank 18Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 10.83Rank 34Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1684The Chimeras

Season APEX 226.4Event APEX 62.24Rank 17Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 849.1 ±8.7

3641The Flying Toasters

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 122.94Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1076PiHi Samurai

Season APEX 201Event APEX 21.47Rank 16Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7769The CREW

Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 176.19Rank 2Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3414, 548, 1684

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.5 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3414, 548, 1684

Auto

17.1 10%

Teleop

111.1 65%

Endgame

42.2 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3641, 1076, 7769

/ 100 compat

Projected

320.6 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3641, 1076, 7769

Auto

46.3 14%

Teleop

196.4 61%

Endgame

77.2 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score170.5pts

Blue projected score320.6pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -150.1
Score range: 134–358
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 668 vs event baseline 204.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

732.4Season APEX849.1

17.1Auto46.3

111.1Teleop196.4

42.2Endgame77.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	110
teleop	111	215
endgame	42	118
foul	0	5
total	220	448

Result

Final score

220 – 448

Prediction correct · off by 88.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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