Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

97.43 – 266.05

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

210 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 78.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 474.6 ±10.5

5090TorqueNados

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 13.15Rank 25Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 25.79Rank 27Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1502Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 122.6Event APEX 58.49Rank 33Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 690.9 ±8.8

503Frog Force

Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 85.13Rank 7Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3015Ranger Robotics

A+

Season APEX 312.5Event APEX 57.74Rank 31Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3668TroBots

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 123.18Rank 19Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5090, 1701, 1502

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.4 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5090, 1701, 1502

Auto

2.8 3%

Teleop

60.1 62%

Endgame

34.7 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 503, 3015, 3668

/ 100 compat

Projected

266.1 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 503, 3015, 3668

Auto

37.1 14%

Teleop

180.7 68%

Endgame

47.0 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.47 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score97.4pts

Blue projected score266.1pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -168.6
Score range: 60–303
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 432 vs event baseline 203.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

474.6Season APEX690.9

2.8Auto37.1

60.1Teleop180.7

34.7Endgame47

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	56
teleop	117	119
endgame	55	47
foul	0	0
total	210	222

Result

Final score

210 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 78.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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