Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 203.32

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

39 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 78.7 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 509.8 ±9.9

1076PiHi Samurai

Season APEX 201Event APEX -1.39Rank 16Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7196Tech Tigers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX -22.4Rank 35Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX -18.91Rank 30Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 277.3 ±12.7

7790Baywatch Robotics

Season APEX 104Event APEX 94.03Rank 10Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1250Gator-Bots

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 67.55Rank 13Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

66Grizzly Robotics

Season APEX 53Event APEX 41.74Rank 5Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1076, 7196, 3175

/ 100 compat

Projected

-42.7 pts

~0.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1076, 7196, 3175

Auto

2.2 0%

Teleop

-21.7 53%

Endgame

-21.3 52%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7790, 1250, 66

/ 100 compat

Projected

203.3 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7790, 1250, 66

Auto

41.7 20%

Teleop

122.3 59%

Endgame

41.6 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.35 · Blue 2.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score-42.7pts

Blue projected score203.3pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -203.3
Score range: -39–242
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 124 vs event baseline 219.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

509.8Season APEX277.3

2.2Auto41.7

-21.7Teleop122.3

-21.3Endgame41.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	7
teleop	27	52
endgame	0	21
foul	0	5
total	39	85

Result

Final score

39 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 78.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.