Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
50.63 – 124.42
29%71%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
210 – 249
Prediction correct · off by 142 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 685.4 ±9.3
Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 67.9Rank 19Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 301.3Event APEX -11.29Rank 27Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 239.6Event APEX -5.98Rank 34Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 716.2 ±9.9
Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 19.04Rank 8Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 99Event APEX 45.45Rank 21Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 59.93Rank 6Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3668, 1701, 548
39
/ 100 compatProjected
50.6 pts
~0.9 RP (offseason)
Teams: 3668, 1701, 548
Auto
15.4 29%
Teleop
23.5 45%
Endgame
13.7 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 24%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1506, 5708, 5460
49
/ 100 compatProjected
124.4 pts
~1.9 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1506, 5708, 5460
Auto
23.0 18%
Teleop
80.2 63%
Endgame
23.6 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 24%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.91 · Blue 1.89
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score50.6pts
Blue projected score124.4pts
Red win probability29%
Event bonus sample100alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 24%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -73.8
- Score range
- 12–163
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
685.4Season APEX716.2
15.4Auto23
23.5Teleop80.2
13.7Endgame23.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 16 |
| teleop | 147 | 113 |
| endgame | 47 | 120 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 210 | 249 |
Result
Final score
210 – 249
Prediction correct · off by 142 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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