Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

249.51 – 141.35

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

295 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 47.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 553 ±9.9

2620Titans

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 36.07Rank 24Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 66.28Rank 18Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9245Laker Dreadnoughts

Season APEX 228.3Event APEX 147.16Rank 9Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 436.3 ±11.2

5695Heavy Duty Eagles

Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 41.29Rank 23Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 53.47Rank 34Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1502Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 122.6Event APEX 46.59Rank 33Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2620, 3414, 9245

/ 100 compat

Projected

249.5 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2620, 3414, 9245

Auto

70.7 27%

Teleop

139.9 53%

Endgame

55.2 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5695, 548, 1502

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.4 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5695, 548, 1502

Auto

37.5 29%

Teleop

67.7 52%

Endgame

23.9 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.04 · Blue 0.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score249.5pts

Blue projected score141.4pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 108.2
Score range: 95–296
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 386 vs event baseline 255.8.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

553Season APEX436.3

70.7Auto37.5

139.9Teleop67.7

55.2Endgame23.9

56Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	9
teleop	173	57
endgame	77	25
foul	0	0
total	295	91

Result

Final score

295 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 47.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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