FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

190.56 – 283.21

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

155 – 253

Prediction correct · off by 32.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 385 ±11.1

7195Twin River Robotics

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 76.2Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5927Globetrotters

Season APEX 67Event APEX 56.02Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2619The Charge

Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 58.34Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 344.4 ±11

6753CBA RoboKings

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 93.96Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6877Mechanical Mustangs

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 70.41Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7054SC Sailors

Season APEX 129.9Event APEX 118.84Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7195, 5927, 2619

/ 100 compat

Projected

190.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7195, 5927, 2619

Auto

42.5 23%

Teleop

97.4 53%

Endgame

42.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6753, 6877, 7054

/ 100 compat

Projected

283.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6753, 6877, 7054

Auto

41.9 15%

Teleop

161.3 59%

Endgame

71.6 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.18 · Blue 2.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score190.6pts

Blue projected score283.2pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -92.6
Score range: 157–317
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 408 vs event baseline 188.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

385Season APEX344.4

42.5Auto41.9

97.4Teleop161.3

42.4Endgame71.6

58Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	41
teleop	61	161
endgame	50	41
foul	5	10
total	155	253

Result

Final score

155 – 253

Prediction correct · off by 32.9 pts

Match videos

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