FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

335.98 – 278.77

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

370 – 341

Prediction correct · off by 48.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 589.1 ±9.8

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 135.08Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 43.8Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1918Newaygo County GEARS

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 157.1Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 450.2 ±9.8

4680AzTech Eagles

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 46.65Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

85B.O.B. (Built on Brains)

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 96.32Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2054Tech Vikes

Season APEX 244.3Event APEX 135.8Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3572, 8397, 1918

/ 100 compat

Projected

336 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3572, 8397, 1918

Auto

46.3 14%

Teleop

197.1 59%

Endgame

91.9 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4680, 85, 2054

/ 100 compat

Projected

278.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4680, 85, 2054

Auto

50.0 18%

Teleop

159.4 57%

Endgame

67.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.04 · Blue 1.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score336pts

Blue projected score278.8pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 57.2
Score range: 245–370
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 711 vs event baseline 186.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

589.1Season APEX450.2

46.3Auto50

197.1Teleop159.4

91.9Endgame67.9

72Consistency81

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	61
teleop	232	191
endgame	123	84
foul	0	5
total	370	341

Result

Final score

370 – 341

Prediction correct · off by 48.1 pts

Match videos

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