FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

384.61 – 190.25

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

305 – 189

Prediction correct · off by 40.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 622.4 ±9.9

5623Robotic Rams

Season APEX 80Event APEX 22.94Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 185.97Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6090Wayland Wildcats

A+

Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 175.7Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 385 ±11.1

7195Twin River Robotics

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 76.69Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5927Globetrotters

Season APEX 67Event APEX 55.32Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2619The Charge

Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 58.24Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5623, 3539, 6090

/ 100 compat

Projected

384.6 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5623, 3539, 6090

Auto

68.7 18%

Teleop

220.9 59%

Endgame

81.8 22%

Strengths

· 3539 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7195, 5927, 2619

/ 100 compat

Projected

190.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7195, 5927, 2619

Auto

41.4 23%

Teleop

97.4 54%

Endgame

42.7 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.53 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score384.6pts

Blue projected score190.3pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 194.4
Score range: 157–418
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 494 vs event baseline 185.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

622.4Season APEX385

68.7Auto41.4

220.9Teleop97.4

81.8Endgame42.7

42Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	98	48
teleop	136	94
endgame	71	42
foul	0	5
total	305	189

Result

Final score

305 – 189

Prediction correct · off by 40.4 pts

Match videos

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