FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

212.49 – 283.58

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

212 – 281

Prediction correct · off by 1.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 304.7 ±12.1

6114Hamilton CyberHawks

Season APEX 112.8Event APEX 85.58Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6128M.O.T.O.R (More Than Our Robot)

Season APEX 101Event APEX 68.04Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

141WOBOT

Season APEX 90.9Event APEX 58.87Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 344.4 ±11

6753CBA RoboKings

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 94.1Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6877Mechanical Mustangs

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 70.44Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7054SC Sailors

Season APEX 129.9Event APEX 119.04Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6114, 6128, 141

/ 100 compat

Projected

212.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6114, 6128, 141

Auto

26.5 13%

Teleop

119.7 58%

Endgame

58.8 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6753, 6877, 7054

/ 100 compat

Projected

283.6 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6753, 6877, 7054

Auto

41.2 15%

Teleop

161.3 59%

Endgame

72.9 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.33 · Blue 2.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score212.5pts

Blue projected score283.6pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -71.1
Score range: 179–317
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 493 vs event baseline 184.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

304.7Season APEX344.4

26.5Auto41.2

119.7Teleop161.3

58.8Endgame72.9

54Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	45
teleop	98	159
endgame	63	67
foul	20	10
total	212	281

Result

Final score

212 – 281

Prediction correct · off by 1.5 pts

Match videos

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