FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

341.09 – 222.69

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

314 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 38.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 589.1 ±9.8

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 137.05Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 45.3Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1918Newaygo County GEARS

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 158.74Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 304.7 ±12.1

6114Hamilton CyberHawks

Season APEX 112.8Event APEX 88.85Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6128M.O.T.O.R (More Than Our Robot)

Season APEX 101Event APEX 71.38Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

141WOBOT

Season APEX 90.9Event APEX 62.46Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3572, 8397, 1918

/ 100 compat

Projected

341.1 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3572, 8397, 1918

Auto

47.6 14%

Teleop

203.8 59%

Endgame

91.7 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6114, 6128, 141

/ 100 compat

Projected

222.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6114, 6128, 141

Auto

27.1 13%

Teleop

128.4 60%

Endgame

58.1 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.32 · Blue 1.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score341.1pts

Blue projected score222.7pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 118.4
Score range: 190–374
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 487 vs event baseline 183.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

589.1Season APEX304.7

47.6Auto27.1

203.8Teleop128.4

91.7Endgame58.1

67Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	23
teleop	165	83
endgame	97	67
foul	10	0
total	314	173

Result

Final score

314 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 38.4 pts

Match videos

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