FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

232.93 – 190.5

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

153 – 181

Prediction missed · off by 44.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 277.9 ±12.7

74Team CHAOS

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 114.66Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5610Turbulence

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 23.65Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4003TriSonics

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 94.62Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 385 ±11.1

7195Twin River Robotics

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 76.89Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5927Globetrotters

Season APEX 67Event APEX 55.92Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2619The Charge

Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 57.69Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 74, 5610, 4003

/ 100 compat

Projected

232.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 74, 5610, 4003

Auto

36.0 16%

Teleop

129.3 57%

Endgame

62.3 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7195, 5927, 2619

/ 100 compat

Projected

190.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7195, 5927, 2619

Auto

41.4 23%

Teleop

94.1 53%

Endgame

43.7 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score232.9pts

Blue projected score190.5pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 75%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 42.4
Score range: 158–266
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 334 vs event baseline 183.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

277.9Season APEX385

36Auto41.4

129.3Teleop94.1

62.3Endgame43.7

85Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	41
teleop	66	100
endgame	65	40
foul	0	0
total	153	181

Result

Final score

153 – 181

Prediction missed · off by 44.7 pts

Match videos

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