FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

397.55 – 140.32

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

326 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 46.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 622.4 ±9.9

5623Robotic Rams

Season APEX 80Event APEX 27.31Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 189.57Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6090Wayland Wildcats

A+

Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 180.67Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 308.1 ±10.5

107Team R.O.B.O.T.I.C.S.

Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 28.01Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

244RoboDawgs 3D

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 43.41Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3357COMETS

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 68.9Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5623, 3539, 6090

/ 100 compat

Projected

397.5 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5623, 3539, 6090

Auto

65.8 17%

Teleop

225.2 59%

Endgame

90.1 24%

Strengths

· 3539 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 107, 244, 3357

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 107, 244, 3357

Auto

30.4 22%

Teleop

68.8 49%

Endgame

40.9 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.62 · Blue 0.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score397.5pts

Blue projected score140.3pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 257.2
Score range: 107–431
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 488 vs event baseline 182.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

622.4Season APEX308.1

65.8Auto30.4

225.2Teleop68.8

90.1Endgame40.9

38Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	80	39
teleop	195	73
endgame	51	50
foul	0	0
total	326	162

Result

Final score

326 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 46.6 pts

Match videos

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