FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

340.04 – 274.26

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

397 – 282

Prediction correct · off by 32.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 589.1 ±9.8

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 136.69Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 45.5Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1918Newaygo County GEARS

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 157.85Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 450.2 ±9.8

4680AzTech Eagles

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 45Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

85B.O.B. (Built on Brains)

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 94.52Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2054Tech Vikes

Season APEX 244.3Event APEX 134.74Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3572, 8397, 1918

/ 100 compat

Projected

340 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3572, 8397, 1918

Auto

41.9 12%

Teleop

202.7 60%

Endgame

93.8 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4680, 85, 2054

/ 100 compat

Projected

274.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4680, 85, 2054

Auto

49.3 18%

Teleop

156.3 58%

Endgame

65.4 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.08 · Blue 1.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score340pts

Blue projected score274.3pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 65.8
Score range: 240–374
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 679 vs event baseline 190.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

589.1Season APEX450.2

41.9Auto49.3

202.7Teleop156.3

93.8Endgame65.4

69Consistency79

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	44
teleop	229	158
endgame	114	65
foul	10	15
total	397	282

Result

Final score

397 – 282

Prediction correct · off by 32.3 pts

Match videos

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