FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

288.32 – 150.73

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

194 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 65.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 450.2 ±9.8

4680AzTech Eagles

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 49.82Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

85B.O.B. (Built on Brains)

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 99.07Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2054Tech Vikes

Season APEX 244.3Event APEX 139.43Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 308.1 ±10.5

107Team R.O.B.O.T.I.C.S.

Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 31.56Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

244RoboDawgs 3D

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 46.56Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3357COMETS

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 72.61Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4680, 85, 2054

/ 100 compat

Projected

288.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4680, 85, 2054

Auto

52.1 18%

Teleop

164.1 57%

Endgame

70.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 107, 244, 3357

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 107, 244, 3357

Auto

31.5 21%

Teleop

72.4 48%

Endgame

46.0 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score288.3pts

Blue projected score150.7pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 137.6
Score range: 117–322
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 382 vs event baseline 188.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

450.2Season APEX308.1

52.1Auto31.5

164.1Teleop72.4

70.1Endgame46

68Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	41
teleop	103	72
endgame	38	50
foul	0	25
total	194	188

Result

Final score

194 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 65.8 pts

Match videos

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