Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
185.97 – 226.11
38%62%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
232 – 283
Prediction correct · off by 51.5 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 404.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 79.9Event APEX 19.58Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 69.71Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 96.68Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 449.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 69.71Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 27.54Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 128.86Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11522, 4003, 3572
70
/ 100 compatProjected
186 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 11522, 4003, 3572
Auto
26.5 15%
Teleop
107.9 60%
Endgame
45.2 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7248, 107, 6090
80
/ 100 compatProjected
226.1 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 7248, 107, 6090
Auto
34.4 16%
Teleop
120.9 56%
Endgame
61.6 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.49 · Blue 1.94
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score186pts
Blue projected score226.1pts
Red win probability38%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 69%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -40.1
- Score range
- 155–257
- Upset likelihood
- 38%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
404.6Season APEX449.5
26.5Auto34.4
107.9Teleop120.9
45.2Endgame61.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 74 |
| teleop | 97 | 149 |
| endgame | 103 | 60 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 232 | 283 |
Result
Final score
232 – 283
Prediction correct · off by 51.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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