Qualification · Qualification 80
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
131.92 – 316.97
9%91%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
111 – 220
Prediction correct · off by 58.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 299.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 24.99Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 70.14Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 127.3Event APEX 36.79Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 425.4 ±11.2
Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 197.24Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 96.71Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 23.02Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7248, 3357, 288
57
/ 100 compatProjected
131.9 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 7248, 3357, 288
Auto
33.8 25%
Teleop
66.6 50%
Endgame
33.3 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 76%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3539, 6753, 9754
83
/ 100 compatProjected
317 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 3539, 6753, 9754
Auto
52.3 18%
Teleop
176.5 59%
Endgame
69.9 23%
Strengths
- · 3539 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 76%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.99 · Blue 2.56
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score131.9pts
Blue projected score317pts
Red win probability9%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 76%, blue 69%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -185.1
- Score range
- 99–350
- Upset likelihood
- 9%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
299.6Season APEX425.4
33.8Auto52.3
66.6Teleop176.5
33.3Endgame69.9
63Consistency49
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 35 | 28 |
| teleop | 63 | 126 |
| endgame | 13 | 66 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 111 | 220 |
Result
Final score
111 – 220
Prediction correct · off by 58.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.