FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

75.87 – 136.29

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

98 – 56

Prediction missed · off by 51.2 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 253.6 ±11.7

288The RoboDawgs

Season APEX 127.3Event APEX 33.43Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4680AzTech Eagles

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 20.44Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3458Code Blue

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 22Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196.7 ±13.3

5256Atomics

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 29.43Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7210RoboJackets 7210

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 18.86Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5623Robotic Rams

Season APEX 80Event APEX 88Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 288, 4680, 3458

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 288, 4680, 3458

Auto

20.2 27%

Teleop

32.2 42%

Endgame

23.5 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5256, 7210, 5623

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5256, 7210, 5623

Auto

18.9 16%

Teleop

77.4 64%

Endgame

24.3 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score75.9pts

Blue projected score136.3pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -60.4
Score range: 42–170
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 154 vs event baseline 187.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

253.6Season APEX196.7

20.2Auto18.9

32.2Teleop77.4

23.5Endgame24.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	5
teleop	70	24
endgame	17	17
foul	0	10
total	98	56

Result

Final score

98 – 56

Prediction missed · off by 51.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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