FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 79

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

61.7 – 109.68

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

62 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 18 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 207.8 ±13.3

5256Atomics

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 11.79Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

107Team R.O.B.O.T.I.C.S.

Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 27.81Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5610Turbulence

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 22.1Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 200.8 ±13.3

141WOBOT

Season APEX 90.9Event APEX 63.26Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9206GRP Titans

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 31.17Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5470The Cowpunchers

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 15.25Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5256, 107, 5610

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5256, 107, 5610

Auto

22.0 38%

Teleop

28.2 49%

Endgame

7.8 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 141, 9206, 5470

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 141, 9206, 5470

Auto

22.8 22%

Teleop

54.3 52%

Endgame

26.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score61.7pts

Blue projected score109.7pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -48
Score range: 29–143
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 136 vs event baseline 184.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

207.8Season APEX200.8

22Auto22.8

28.2Teleop54.3

7.8Endgame26.9

67Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	19
teleop	30	41
endgame	5	14
foul	0	0
total	62	74

Result

Final score

62 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 18 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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