FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 78

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

206.1 – 189.98

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

213 – 240

Prediction missed · off by 28.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 291.2 ±11.6

4003TriSonics

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 92.8Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

85B.O.B. (Built on Brains)

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 89.36Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9671Robosnacks

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 23.94Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 329.9 ±11.7

11522Union HS

Season APEX 79.9Event APEX 38.96Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 40.35Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7054SC Sailors

Season APEX 129.9Event APEX 110.67Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4003, 85, 9671

/ 100 compat

Projected

206.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4003, 85, 9671

Auto

42.5 21%

Teleop

110.4 54%

Endgame

53.2 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11522, 8397, 7054

/ 100 compat

Projected

190 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 11522, 8397, 7054

Auto

36.8 22%

Teleop

80.3 48%

Endgame

49.3 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score206.1pts

Blue projected score190pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 16.1
Score range: 157–239
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 453 vs event baseline 183.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

291.2Season APEX329.9

42.5Auto36.8

110.4Teleop80.3

53.2Endgame49.3

81Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	55
teleop	101	124
endgame	64	61
foul	0	0
total	213	240

Result

Final score

213 – 240

Prediction missed · off by 28.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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