FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 77

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.27 – 234.57

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

97 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 69.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 161.9 ±12.8

4680AzTech Eagles

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 38.45Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9721Red Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 30Event APEX 2.85Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9542Technodogs

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 9.97Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 482.7 ±10.7

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 144.37Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11491Bloomingdale Cardinals

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 23.89Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2619The Charge

Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 66.31Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4680, 9721, 9542

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4680, 9721, 9542

Auto

11.1 20%

Teleop

29.1 52%

Endgame

15.4 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3572, 11491, 2619

/ 100 compat

Projected

234.6 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3572, 11491, 2619

Auto

55.5 26%

Teleop

129.3 60%

Endgame

31.5 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score51.3pts

Blue projected score234.6pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -183.3
Score range: 18–268
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 238 vs event baseline 184.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

161.9Season APEX482.7

11.1Auto55.5

29.1Teleop129.3

15.4Endgame31.5

88Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	45
teleop	59	63
endgame	16	33
foul	5	0
total	97	141

Result

Final score

97 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 69.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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