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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

260.23137.06

82%18%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

21391

Prediction correct · off by 46.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 411.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 67Event APEX 57.63Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 184.31Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 18.29Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 212.2 ±13.3
Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 33.6Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 11.43Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 112.8Event APEX 92.03Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5927, 6090, 3458
80
/ 100 compat
Projected
260.2 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 5927, 6090, 3458
Auto
38.3 15%
Teleop
149.0 57%
Endgame
73.9 28%
Strengths
  • · 6090 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3425, 6428, 6114
53
/ 100 compat
Projected
137.1 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 3425, 6428, 6114
Auto
23.3 18%
Teleop
67.1 50%
Endgame
42.7 32%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.97
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score260.2pts
Blue projected score137.1pts
Red win probability82%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
123.2
Score range
104293
Upset likelihood
18%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 304 vs event baseline 185.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

411.5Season APEX212.2
38.3Auto23.3
149Teleop67.1
73.9Endgame42.7
70Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto5229
teleop9241
endgame6921
foul00
total21391

Result

Final score

21391

Prediction correct · off by 46.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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