Qualification · Qualification 76
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
260.23 – 137.06
82%18%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
213 – 91
Prediction correct · off by 46.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 411.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 67Event APEX 57.63Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 184.31Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 18.29Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 212.2 ±13.3
Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 33.6Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 11.43Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 112.8Event APEX 92.03Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5927, 6090, 3458
80
/ 100 compatProjected
260.2 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 5927, 6090, 3458
Auto
38.3 15%
Teleop
149.0 57%
Endgame
73.9 28%
Strengths
- · 6090 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3425, 6428, 6114
53
/ 100 compatProjected
137.1 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 3425, 6428, 6114
Auto
23.3 18%
Teleop
67.1 50%
Endgame
42.7 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.97
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score260.2pts
Blue projected score137.1pts
Red win probability82%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 123.2
- Score range
- 104–293
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
411.5Season APEX212.2
38.3Auto23.3
149Teleop67.1
73.9Endgame42.7
70Consistency47
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 52 | 29 |
| teleop | 92 | 41 |
| endgame | 69 | 21 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 213 | 91 |
Result
Final score
213 – 91
Prediction correct · off by 46.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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